Research

Research record

Everything published, newest first, each tagged with the thread it belongs to. Papers without a public link are listed anyway — the record is the record.

Publications
09 · 2026

Affective Asymmetry in News Reactions across Reddit and Bluesky

M. Trerotola, A. Esposito, M. Parente · SHIELD-AI 2026 Workshop, ECML PKDD 2026

Six instruments — lexicons, classifiers, language models — disagree by an order of magnitude on how hostile a platform is (1.2%–24.4%), yet agree on the ordering, so only relative comparisons hold. On that footing Reddit turns negative sentiment into open hostility about three times as readily as Bluesky (19.5% vs 6.5%), while the underlying affect looks the same: a difference in expression, not in feeling.

Open-source intelligence
08 · 2026

Using Artificial Intelligence to enhance CONSOB’s enforcement against unauthorised financial activities

M. Trerotola, A. Boghi, P. Deriu, G. Frega · Consob, Quaderni FinTech, No. 19

A hybrid prototype — language models with deterministic rules — for investor complaints and the websites of reported entities, developed by Consob with the Politecnico di Torino and the Università Politecnica delle Marche. Written with the heads of the authority’s Studies and Regulation Division and of its Unauthorised Phenomena Supervision Office.

consob.itJEL O32, O33, C55, G21

Financial crime and market integrity
07 · 2026

Blockchain Fraud Detection for Explainable Forensic Investigations

M. Trerotola, D. Calvaresi, M. Parente · DSA ISC 2026

Deep models are accurate but opaque; interpretable pipelines are usually tied to one chain. This method keeps both: architecture-neutral graph-temporal features, Balanced Random Forests for severe class imbalance, and a three-layer XAI stack (SHAP, CIU, DEXiRE). Macro-F1 up to 0.92 on 31,000 Bitcoin wallets and 0.985 on 157,000 Ethereum tokens, with the reasoning left inspectable.

Explainability and audit
06 · 2026

Towards Explainable Detection of Money Laundering in Transaction Networks

M. Trerotola, D. Calvaresi, M. Parente · WIRN 2026

Recall reported per laundering typology rather than in aggregate. Fan-out is missed by roughly 30 percentage points across Random Forest, LightGBM, XGBoost and TabNet, and targeted feature engineering at a matched budget does not close it — a limit of the account-level representation, not of any one model. The gap survives a second, more realistic generator, where fan-out recall stays at 0.62 against 0.87 for cycle.

Explainability and audit
04 · 2026

A Hybrid Multi-Agent System for Early Scam Detection in Crypto-Assets

M. Trerotola, M. Parente, D. Calvaresi · Applied Sciences, 16(7), 3122

Seven specialised agents — coordination, retrieval, heuristic risk, MiCAR compliance, on-chain fraud detection, reconciliation — combining language models with rule-based compliance checks. Component-level testing on 150 projects gives 95% output reproducibility across five reruns and 210 s mean latency: proof of concept, not deployment evidence. A pilot with six researchers and two regulatory-authority experts supplies preliminary usability findings.

doi:10.3390/app16073122code

Agent systems
Threads

Explainability and audit

Rule extraction and model-agnostic explanation, so a decision can be traced back to the evidence that produced it — SHAP, CIU and DEXiRE stacked for global, local and symbolic auditing, and working patterns for what the AI Act asks of high-risk systems.

Financial crime and market integrity

Unauthorised financial activity, crypto-asset scams under MiCAR, money laundering in transaction networks, and fraudulent addresses across Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Agent systems

Multi-agent pipelines that read the documents a supervisor would otherwise read by hand: retrieval, extraction, rule-based verification, and a reconciliation step that has to be reproducible run after run.

Markets and simulation

Where the work started: neural models of cryptocurrency price movement, and agent-based simulators of market microstructure that generate the data this research needs.

Open-source intelligence

Structuring what public sources actually say: how reactions to the same news diverge across social platforms, and AI-augmented OSINT for decision support.